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Cities drive growth, and they do best when freed from central constraint.  Core Cities Group has laboured over this single, critical message for more than 15 years, building evidence and positive argument, and many others have made very significant contributions particularly in recent years.  

‘Unlocking City Growth’ is therefore very much welcomed by the Core Cities.  Its publication comes at a decisive moment for the economy, and its contents contain some ‘keys to the city’.  But its publication is also a landmark because it heralds a shift toward national acceptance of the macroeconomic role of cities and their economic sub regions. There is though still a journey ahead.  

It is true that we have come close to the edge of real devolution and decentralisation before, only to step back.  But this feels different; commitment resonates from the document.  The process is also underpinned by a change in legislation which enables decentralisation (through an amendment to the Localism Act, moved on behalf of Core Cities).  The publication also makes this is a very public process, one that will require a significant outcome.

This moment is different in other important respects, taking place as it does against a backdrop of economic restructuring and public sector reform.  It’s important to recognise therefore that this is decentralisation with a specific purpose; to drive macroeconomic growth, and encourage wider public sector reform.  The prizes for cities, citizens and the national economy could be decisive.

Core Cities recently commissioned independent forecasters Oxford Economics to model three different economic scenarios for our cities, and for the eight Local Enterprise Partnership areas that incorporate them.  The baseline scenario assumes that there is little additional investment, but also that there are no markedly downward trends or significant additional public funding reductions beyond those planned.  It produces an additional £128 billion GVA and 417,000 jobs between 2012 and 2030 on a gradually ascending graph – slow growth.  The best case scenario delivers profound transformative effects of another £61 billion GVA on top of this and a total of 1.3million jobs.  But there is also a worst case, with a loss of £41 billion GVA and 1 million jobs below the baseline.  In current circumstances, each of the scenarios is possible.  To state the obvious, we want to avoid the worst and get to the best, so what will support business to achieve that and what is the role of the public sector?

Unsurprisingly it largely boils down to the usual suspects: investment; skills; infrastructure; housing; innovation and enterprise.  But there are some nuances to this, including the urgent need to deal with energy price rises, through local energy generation, transport measures and efficiency.  Building on these forecasts, there are two critical factors that will have to work in tandem: a more sensitive, localised application of the policy levers to increase growth, productivity, and reduce dependency; and direct stimulus into projects, places and sectors capable of creating demand.   It’s not possible for either local or national government to do these things separately.  Success relies on finding a completely different way of the national and local working together - jointly with the private sector - a new economic paradigm to deliver growth from cities.  This in turn requires a complete culture change at both levels.

Core Cities do a lot of economic heavy lifting, with their urban areas accounting for about 27% of the country’s economy, more than London.  But the process that has moved forward with this publication is not and should not be just about Core Cities.  There are other towns and cities that can and do drive growth, that should have more opportunity, and yet others that must benefit from increased urban economic strength.  

For me the central question for decentralisation has never been if, but when.  Why?  Because we will eventually have (and are now having) to accept that we have probably gone as far as we can with the existing model, and other cities elsewhere – even despite the highly challenging Eurozone crisis for some  – have got a big head start on us.  Its time to do some catching up.

 

Written by Chris Murray
Thursday, 22 December 2011 11:11

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      AND access <= 1
  75. UPDATE `jos_session`
      SET `data` = '__default|a:7:{s:15:\"session.counter\";i:36;s:19:\"session.timer.start\";i:1330907045;s:18:\"session.timer.last\";i:1330913562;s:17:\"session.timer.now\";i:1330913576;s:22:\"session.client.browser\";s:89:\"Mozilla/5.0 (compatible; archive.org_bot +http://www.archive.org/details/archive.org_bot)\";s:8:\"registry\";O:9:\"JRegistry\":1:{s:7:\"\0*\0data\";O:8:\"stdClass\":0:{}}s:4:\"user\";O:5:\"JUser\":23:{s:9:\"\0*\0isRoot\";b:0;s:2:\"id\";i:0;s:4:\"name\";N;s:8:\"username\";N;s:5:\"email\";N;s:8:\"password\";N;s:14:\"password_clear\";s:0:\"\";s:8:\"usertype\";N;s:5:\"block\";N;s:9:\"sendEmail\";i:0;s:12:\"registerDate\";N;s:13:\"lastvisitDate\";N;s:10:\"activation\";N;s:6:\"params\";N;s:6:\"groups\";a:0:{}s:5:\"guest\";i:1;s:10:\"\0*\0_params\";O:9:\"JRegistry\":1:{s:7:\"\0*\0data\";O:8:\"stdClass\":0:{}}s:14:\"\0*\0_authGroups\";a:1:{i:0;i:1;}s:14:\"\0*\0_authLevels\";a:2:{i:0;i:1;i:1;i:1;}s:15:\"\0*\0_authActions\";N;s:12:\"\0*\0_errorMsg\";N;s:10:\"\0*\0_errors\";a:0:{}s:3:\"aid\";i:0;}}', `time` = 1330913577
      WHERE `session_id` = '7op7pud180fdav772gqv2ejns4'

32 Query Types Logged, Sorted by Occurrences.

SELECT Tables:
  1. 16 × select (b.id)id from jos_categories as a,jos_menu as b
  2. 8 × SELECT * FROM jos_categories
  3. 6 × select * from jos_content
  4. 6 × select (a.username)username,(a.email)email,(b.firstname)firstname,(b.lastname)lastname,(b.cb_org)cb_org,(b.cb_title)cb_title,(b.cb_jobtitle)cb_jobtitle,(b.avatar)avatar from jos_users as a,jos_comprofiler as b
  5. 5 × select * from jos_comprofiler
  6. 4 × SELECT extension_id AS "id", element AS "option", params, enabled FROM jos_extensions
  7. 2 × SELECT a.id as id,a.type as type,a.name as name,a.clickurl as clickurl,a.cid as cid,a.params as params,a.custombannercode as custombannercode,a.track_impressions as track_impressions,cl.track_impressions as client_track_impressions FROM jos_banners as a LEFT JOIN jos_banner_clients AS cl ON cl.id = a.cid LEFT JOIN jos_categories as cat ON a.catid = cat.id
  8. 2 × select id,title,catid,introtext,created_by from jos_content
  9. 1 × select * from jos_web_media
  10. 1 × SELECT m.id, m.title, m.module, m.position, m.content, m.showtitle, m.params, mm.menuid FROM jos_modules AS m LEFT JOIN jos_modules_menu AS mm ON mm.moduleid = m.id LEFT JOIN jos_extensions AS e ON e.element = m.module AND e.client_id = m.client_id
  11. 1 × SELECT * FROM jos_banners
  12. 1 × select * from jos_jcomments
  13. 1 × select * from jos_tag_term
  14. 1 × select * from jos_event_web as a inner join jos_web as b on b.id = a.webid
  15. 1 × SELECT id FROM jos_menu
  16. 1 × select (a.catid)catid,(b.level)level from jos_content as a, jos_categories as b
  17. 1 × select * from jos_web
  18. 1 × SELECT id, home, template, s.params FROM jos_template_styles as s LEFT JOIN jos_extensions as e ON e.element=s.template AND e.type='template' AND e.client_id=s.client_id
  19. 1 × SELECT * FROM jos_jcomments_setting
  20. 1 × SELECT m.id, m.menutype, m.title, m.alias, m.path AS route, m.link, m.type, m.level, m.language,m.browserNav, m.access, m.params, m.home, m.img, m.template_style_id, m.component_id, m.parent_id,e.element as component FROM jos_menu AS m LEFT JOIN jos_extensions AS e ON m.component_id = e.extension_id
  21. 1 × SELECT folder AS type, element AS name, params FROM jos_extensions
  22. 1 × SELECT * FROM jos_languages
  23. 1 × SELECT b.rules FROM jos_assets AS a LEFT JOIN jos_assets AS b ON b.lft <= a.lft AND b.rgt >= a.rgt
  24. 1 × SELECT * FROM `jos_jcomments_objects`
  25. 1 × SELECT count(*) FROM jos_jcomments AS c
  26. 1 × select * from jos_tag_term_content as a, jos_tag_term as b
  27. 1 × SELECT c.*,CASE WHEN CHAR_LENGTH(c.alias) THEN CONCAT_WS(":", c.id, c.alias) ELSE c.id END as slug FROM jos_categories as c LEFT JOIN jos_categories AS s ON (s.lft <= c.lft AND s.rgt >= c.rgt) OR (s.lft > c.lft AND s.rgt < c.rgt) LEFT JOIN (SELECT cat.id as id FROM jos_categories AS cat JOIN jos_categories AS parent ON cat.lft BETWEEN parent.lft AND parent.rgt
  28. 1 × SELECT a.id, a.asset_id, a.title, a.alias, a.title_alias, a.introtext, a.fulltext, CASE WHEN badcats.id is null THEN a.state ELSE 0 END AS state, a.mask, a.catid, a.created, a.created_by, a.created_by_alias, a.modified, a.modified_by, a.checked_out, a.checked_out_time, a.publish_up, a.publish_down, a.images, a.urls, a.attribs, a.version, a.parentid, a.ordering, a.metakey, a.metadesc, a.access, a.hits, a.metadata, a.featured, a.language, a.xreference,c.title AS category_title, c.alias AS category_alias, c.access AS category_access,u.name AS author,contact.id as contactid,parent.title as parent_title, parent.id as parent_id, parent.path as parent_route, parent.alias as parent_alias,ROUND( v.rating_sum / v.rating_count ) AS rating, v.rating_count as rating_count FROM jos_content AS a LEFT JOIN jos_categories AS c on c.id = a.catid LEFT JOIN jos_users AS u on u.id = a.created_by LEFT JOIN jos_contact_details AS contact on contact.user_id = a.created_by LEFT JOIN jos_categories as parent ON parent.id = c.parent_id LEFT JOIN jos_content_rating AS v ON a.id = v.content_id LEFT OUTER JOIN (SELECT cat.id as id FROM jos_categories AS cat JOIN jos_categories AS parent ON cat.lft BETWEEN parent.lft AND parent.rgt
  29. 1 × SELECT `data` FROM `jos_session`
OTHER Tables:
  1. 3 × UPDATE jos_banners SET impmade = (impmade + 1)
  2. 1 × UPDATE `jos_session` SET `data` = '__default|a:7:{s:15:\"session.counter\";i:36;s:19:\"session.timer.start\";i:1330907045;s:18:\"session.timer.last\";i:1330913562;s:17:\"session.timer.now\";i:1330913576;s:22:\"session.client.browser\";s:89:\"Mozilla/5.0 (compatible; archive.org_bot +http://www.archive.org/details/archive.org_bot)\";s:8:\"registry\";O:9:\"JRegistry\":1:{s:7:\"\0*\0data\";O:8:\"stdClass\":0:{}}s:4:\"user\";O:5:\"JUser\":23:{s:9:\"\0*\0isRoot\";b:0;s:2:\"id\";i:0;s:4:\"name\";N;s:8:\"username\";N;s:5:\"email\";N;s:8:\"password\";N;s:14:\"password_clear\";s:0:\"\";s:8:\"usertype\";N;s:5:\"block\";N;s:9:\"sendEmail\";i:0;s:12:\"registerDate\";N;s:13:\"lastvisitDate\";N;s:10:\"activation\";N;s:6:\"params\";N;s:6:\"groups\";a:0:{}s:5:\"guest\";i:1;s:10:\"\0*\0_params\";O:9:\"JRegistry\":1:{s:7:\"\0*\0data\";O:8:\"stdClass\":0:{}}s:14:\"\0*\0_authGroups\";a:1:{i:0;i:1;}s:14:\"\0*\0_authLevels\";a:2:{i:0;i:1;i:1;i:1;}s:15:\"\0*\0_authActions\";N;s:12:\"\0*\0_errorMsg\";N;s:10:\"\0*\0_errors\";a:0:{}s:3:\"aid\";i:0;}}', `time` = 1330913577
  3. 1 × UPDATE jos_content SET hits = hits + 1